Abstract | BACKGROUND: A hospitalization for community-acquired pneumonia results in a decrease in long-term survival in elderly patients. We assessed biomarkers at admission to predict one-year mortality in a cohort of elderly patients with pneumonia. METHODS: A prospective observational study included patients >65 years hospitalized with pneumonia. Assessment of PSI, CURB-65, and biomarkers ( C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), NT-pro- B-type natriuretic peptide ( NT-proBNP), interleukin (IL)-6 and -8, tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-α), serum amyloid A (SAA), neopterin (NP), myeloperoxidase (MPO), anti- apolipoprotein A-1 IgG (anti- apoA-1), and anti- phosphorylcholine IgM (anti-PC IgM)) was used to calculate prognostic values for one-year mortality using ROC curve analyses. Post hoc optimal cutoffs with corresponding sensitivity (SE) and specificity (SP) were determined using the Youden index. RESULTS: A total of 133 patients were included (median age 83 years [IQR: 78-89]). Age, dementia, BMI, NT-proBNP (AUROC 0.65 (95% CI: 0.55-0.77)), and IL-8 (AUROC 0.66 (95% CI: 0.56-0.75)) were significantly associated with mortality, with NT-proBNP (HR 1.01 (95% CI 1.00-1.02) and BMI (HR 0.92 (95% CI 0.85-1.000) being independent of age, gender, comorbidities, and PSI with Cox regression. At the cutoff value of 2200 ng/L, NT-proBNP had 67% sensitivity and 70% specificity. PSI and CURB-65 were not associated with mortality. CONCLUSIONS:
NT-proBNP levels upon admission and BMI displayed the highest prognostic accuracy for one-year mortality and may help clinicians to identify patients with poor long-term prognosis.
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Authors | Astrid Malézieux-Picard, Leire Azurmendi, Sabrina Pagano, Nicolas Vuilleumier, Jean-Charles Sanchez, Dina Zekry, Jean-Luc Reny, Jérôme Stirnemann, Nicolas Garin, Virginie Prendki, On Behalf Of The PneumOldCT Study Group |
Journal | Journal of clinical medicine
(J Clin Med)
Vol. 11
Issue 1
(Dec 25 2021)
ISSN: 2077-0383 [Print] Switzerland |
PMID | 35011845
(Publication Type: Journal Article)
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