Kidney function was assessed by estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) using serum
creatinine,
cystatin C, or both, and 24-hour urine
albumin excretion. During an average of 6.3 years of follow-up, 452 participants developed incident
heart failure. After adjustment for age, sex, race, and clinical site, hazard ratio (95% CI) for
heart failure associated with 1 SD lower
creatinine-based eGFR was 1.67 (1.49, 1.89), 1 SD lower
cystatin C-based-eGFR was 2.43 (2.10, 2.80), and 1 SD higher log-
albuminuria was 1.65 (1.53, 1.78), all P<0.001. When all 3 kidney function measures were simultaneously included in the model, lower
cystatin C-based eGFR and higher log-
albuminuria remained significantly and directly associated with incidence of
heart failure. After adjusting for eGFR,
albuminuria, and other traditional cardiovascular risk factors,
anemia (1.37, 95% CI 1.09, 1.72, P=0.006),
insulin resistance (1.16, 95% CI 1.04, 1.28, P=0.006),
hemoglobin A1c (1.27, 95% CI 1.14, 1.41, P<0.001),
interleukin-6 (1.15, 95% CI 1.05, 1.25, P=0.002), and
tumor necrosis factor-α (1.10, 95% CI 1.00, 1.21, P=0.05) were all significantly and directly associated with incidence of
heart failure.
CONCLUSIONS: