Abstract | BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Current measures for predicting renal functional decline in patients with type 2 diabetes with preserved renal function are unsatisfactory, and multiple markers assessing various biologic axes may improve prediction. We examined the association of four biomarker-to- creatinine ratio levels ( monocyte chemotactic protein-1, IL-18, kidney injury molecule-1, and YKL-40) with renal outcome. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: We used a nested case-control design in the Action to Control Cardiovascular Disease Trial by matching 190 participants with ≥40% sustained eGFR decline over the 5-year follow-up period to 190 participants with ≤10% eGFR decline in a 1:1 fashion on key characteristics (age within 5 years, sex, race, baseline albumin-to- creatinine ratio within 20 μg/mg, and baseline eGFR within 10 ml/min per 1.73 m(2)), with ≤10% decline. We used a Mesoscale Multiplex Platform and measured biomarkers in baseline and 24-month specimens, and we examined biomarker associations with outcome using conditional logistic regression. RESULTS: Baseline and 24-month levels of monocyte chemotactic protein-1-to-creatinine ratio levels were higher for cases versus controls. The highest quartile of baseline monocyte chemotactic protein-1-to-creatinine ratio had fivefold greater odds, and each log increment had 2.27-fold higher odds for outcome (odds ratio, 5.27; 95% confidence interval, 2.19 to 12.71 and odds ratio, 2.27; 95% confidence interval, 1.44 to 3.58, respectively). IL-18-to-creatinine ratio, kidney injury molecule-1-to-creatinine ratio, and YKL-40-to-creatinine ratio were not consistently associated with outcome. C statistic for traditional predictors of eGFR decline was 0.70, which improved significantly to 0.74 with monocyte chemotactic protein-1-to-creatinine ratio. CONCLUSIONS: Urinary monocyte chemotactic protein-1-to-creatinine ratio concentrations were strongly associated with sustained renal decline in patients with type 2 diabetes with preserved renal function.
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Authors | Girish N Nadkarni, Veena Rao, Faramarz Ismail-Beigi, Vivian A Fonseca, Sudhir V Shah, Michael S Simonson, Lloyd Cantley, Prasad Devarajan, Chirag R Parikh, Steven G Coca |
Journal | Clinical journal of the American Society of Nephrology : CJASN
(Clin J Am Soc Nephrol)
Vol. 11
Issue 8
Pg. 1343-1352
(08 08 2016)
ISSN: 1555-905X [Electronic] United States |
PMID | 27189318
(Publication Type: Journal Article)
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Copyright | Copyright © 2016 by the American Society of Nephrology. |
Chemical References |
- Biomarkers
- CCL2 protein, human
- CHI3L1 protein, human
- Chemokine CCL2
- Chitinase-3-Like Protein 1
- HAVCR1 protein, human
- Hepatitis A Virus Cellular Receptor 1
- IL18 protein, human
- Interleukin-18
- Creatinine
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Topics |
- Aged
- Biomarkers
(urine)
- Case-Control Studies
- Chemokine CCL2
(urine)
- Chitinase-3-Like Protein 1
(urine)
- Creatinine
(urine)
- Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2
(physiopathology, urine)
- Diabetic Nephropathies
(physiopathology, urine)
- Female
- Fibrosis
- Glomerular Filtration Rate
- Hepatitis A Virus Cellular Receptor 1
(metabolism)
- Humans
- Inflammation
(urine)
- Interleukin-18
(urine)
- Male
- Middle Aged
- Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
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