Abstract | BACKGROUND: Growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15), soluble ST2 (sST2), and high-sensitivity troponin I (hsTnI) are emerging predictors of adverse clinical outcomes. We examined whether circulating concentrations are related to the development of kidney disease in the community. METHODS: Plasma GDF-15, sST2, and hsTnI concentrations were measured in 2614 Framingham Offspring cohort participants (mean age 57 years, 54% women) at the sixth examination cycle (1995-1998). Associations of biomarkers with incident chronic kidney disease [CKD, eGFR <60 mL · min(-1) · (1.73 m(2)) (-1), n = 276], microalbuminuria (urinary albumin to creatinine ratio ≥25 mg/g in women and 17 mg/g in men, n = 191), and rapid decline in renal function [decline in eGFR ≥3 mL · min(-1) · (1.73 m(2)) (-1) per year, n = 237], were evaluated using multivariable logistic regression; P < 0.006 was considered statistically significant in primary analyses. RESULTS: Participants were followed over a mean of 9.5 years. Higher plasma GDF-15 was associated with incident CKD [multivariable-adjusted odds ratio (OR) 1.9 per 1-U increase in log-GDF-15, 95% CI 1.6-2.3, P < 0.0001] and rapid decline in renal function (OR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.3-1.8; P < 0.0001). GDF-15, sST2, and hsTnI had suggestive associations with incident microalbuminuria but did not meet the prespecified P-value threshold after multivariable adjustment. Adding plasma GDF-15 to clinical covariates improved risk prediction of incident CKD: the c-statistic increased from 0.826 to 0.845 (P = 0.0007), and categorical net reclassification was 6.3% (95% CI, 2.7-9.9%). CONCLUSIONS: Higher circulating GDF-15 is associated with incident renal outcomes and improves risk prediction of incident CKD. These findings may provide insights into the mechanisms of renal injury.
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Authors | Jennifer E Ho, Shih-Jen Hwang, Kai C Wollert, Martin G Larson, Susan Cheng, Tibor Kempf, Ramachandran S Vasan, James L Januzzi, Thomas J Wang, Caroline S Fox |
Journal | Clinical chemistry
(Clin Chem)
Vol. 59
Issue 11
Pg. 1613-20
(Nov 2013)
ISSN: 1530-8561 [Electronic] England |
PMID | 23873716
(Publication Type: Journal Article, Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural, Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't)
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Chemical References |
- Biomarkers
- Growth Differentiation Factor 15
- IL1RL1 protein, human
- Interleukin-1 Receptor-Like 1 Protein
- Receptors, Cell Surface
- Troponin I
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Topics |
- Albuminuria
(blood, epidemiology)
- Biomarkers
(blood)
- Cardiovascular Diseases
(blood, epidemiology)
- Female
- Growth Differentiation Factor 15
(blood)
- Humans
- Incidence
- Interleukin-1 Receptor-Like 1 Protein
- Kidney Function Tests
- Longitudinal Studies
- Male
- Middle Aged
- Receptors, Cell Surface
(blood)
- Renal Insufficiency, Chronic
(blood, epidemiology, physiopathology)
- Troponin I
(blood)
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