Abstract |
The global impact of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is unprecedented, and many control and prevention measures have been implemented to test for and trace COVID-19. However, invisible-spreaders, who are associated with nucleic acid detection and asymptomatic infections, have received insufficient attention in the current COVID-19 control efforts. In this paper, we analyze the time series infection data for Italy, Germany, Brazil, India and Sweden since the first wave outbreak to address the following issues through a series of experiments. We conclude that: 1) As of June 1, 2020, the proportion of invisible-spreaders is close to 0.4% in Sweden, 0.8% in early Italy and Germany, and 0.4% in the middle and late stages. However, in Brazil and India, the proportion still shows a gradual upward trend; 2) During the spread of this pandemic, even a slight increase in the proportion of invisible-spreaders could have large implications for the health of the community; and 3) On resuming work, the pandemic intervention measures will be relaxed, and invisible-spreaders will cause a new round of outbreaks.
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Authors | Chao Wu, Cong Xu, Feng Mao, Xiaolin Xu, Chan Zhang |
Journal | PloS one
(PLoS One)
Vol. 17
Issue 1
Pg. e0252994
( 2022)
ISSN: 1932-6203 [Electronic] United States |
PMID | 35020722
(Publication Type: Journal Article)
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Topics |
- Asymptomatic Infections
(epidemiology)
- Brazil
(epidemiology)
- COVID-19
(diagnosis, epidemiology, transmission, virology)
- Germany
(epidemiology)
- Humans
- India
(epidemiology)
- Italy
(epidemiology)
- Models, Theoretical
- Pandemics
- SARS-CoV-2
(isolation & purification)
- Sweden
(epidemiology)
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