Abstract | PURPOSE: Between 30%-40% of patients with prostate cancer experience disease recurrence following radical prostatectomy. Existing clinical models for recurrence risk prediction do not account for population-based variation in the tumor phenotype, despite recent evidence suggesting the presence of a unique, more aggressive prostate cancer phenotype in African American (AA) patients. We investigated the capacity of digitally measured, population-specific phenotypes of the intratumoral stroma to create improved models for prediction of recurrence following radical prostatectomy. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: This study included 334 radical prostatectomy patients subdivided into training (VT, n = 127), validation 1 (V1, n = 62), and validation 2 (V2, n = 145). Hematoxylin and eosin-stained slides from resected prostates were digitized, and 242 quantitative descriptors of the intratumoral stroma were calculated using a computational algorithm. Machine learning and elastic net Cox regression models were constructed using VT to predict biochemical recurrence-free survival based on these features. Performance of these models was assessed using V1 and V2, both overall and in population-specific cohorts. RESULTS: An AA-specific, automated stromal signature, AAstro, was prognostic of recurrence risk in both independent validation datasets [V1,AA: AUC = 0.87, HR = 4.71 (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.65-13.4), P = 0.003; V2,AA: AUC = 0.77, HR = 5.7 (95% CI, 1.48-21.90), P = 0.01]. AAstro outperformed clinical standard Kattan and CAPRA-S nomograms, and the underlying stromal descriptors were strongly associated with IHC measurements of specific tumor biomarker expression levels. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that considering population-specific information and stromal morphology has the potential to substantially improve accuracy of prognosis and risk stratification in AA patients with prostate cancer.
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Authors | Hersh K Bhargava, Patrick Leo, Robin Elliott, Andrew Janowczyk, Jon Whitney, Sanjay Gupta, Pingfu Fu, Kosj Yamoah, Francesca Khani, Brian D Robinson, Timothy R Rebbeck, Michael Feldman, Priti Lal, Anant Madabhushi |
Journal | Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research
(Clin Cancer Res)
Vol. 26
Issue 8
Pg. 1915-1923
(04 15 2020)
ISSN: 1557-3265 [Electronic] United States |
PMID | 32139401
(Publication Type: Journal Article, Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural, Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't, Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.)
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Copyright | ©2020 American Association for Cancer Research. |
Chemical References |
- Biomarkers, Tumor
- Prostate-Specific Antigen
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Topics |
- Black or African American
(statistics & numerical data)
- Biomarkers, Tumor
(analysis)
- Disease Progression
- Humans
- Image Processing, Computer-Assisted
(methods)
- Machine Learning
- Male
- Middle Aged
- Neoplasm Recurrence, Local
(metabolism, pathology, surgery)
- Nomograms
- Predictive Value of Tests
- Prognosis
- Prostate-Specific Antigen
(blood)
- Prostatectomy
(methods)
- Prostatic Neoplasms
(metabolism, pathology, surgery)
- ROC Curve
- Risk Assessment
(methods)
- Stromal Cells
(pathology)
- Survival Rate
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