Abstract | OBJECTIVE(S): To evaluate whether acute glucose elevation (AGE) is predictive of infection and outcome in critically injured trauma patients during the first 14 days of ICU admission. METHODS: A prospective study was conducted on 2200 patients admitted to the ICU over a 2 1/2 year period. The diagnosis of infection was made via a multidisciplinary fashion utilizing CDC criteria. After early glucose stabilization occurred (no significant change for 48 hours after admission) monitoring for AGE was performed utilizing a computational and graded algorithmic model. Iatrogenic causes of AGE were excluded. Stepwise regression models were performed controlling for age, gender, mechanism of injury, diabetes, injury severity, and APACHE 2 score. ROC curves were used to evaluate the positive predictive value of the test. RESULTS: Seventy-seven percent of the patients in the cohort were males, and were admitted for blunt injuries (n = 1870 or 85%). The mean age, Injury Severity Score, and APACHE score were 44 ± 20 years, 29 ± 13, and 13 ± 7, respectively. The mean admission serum glucose value was 141 ± 36 mg/dL (range, 64-418 mg/dL). A total of 616 (28%) patients were diagnosed with an infection during the first 14 days of admission. AGE had a 91% positive predictive value for infection diagnosis. In addition, AGE was associated with a significant increase in ventilator, ICU, and hospital days as well as mortality even when adjusted for age, injury severity, APACHE score, and diabetes (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: AGE is a highly accurate predictor of infection and should stimulate clinicians to identify a new source of infection.
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Authors | Grant V Bochicchio, Kelly M Bochicchio, Manjari Joshi, Obeid Ilahi, Thomas M Scalea |
Journal | Annals of surgery
(Ann Surg)
Vol. 252
Issue 4
Pg. 597-602
(Oct 2010)
ISSN: 1528-1140 [Electronic] United States |
PMID | 20881765
(Publication Type: Journal Article)
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Chemical References |
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Topics |
- APACHE
- Adult
- Algorithms
- Blood Glucose
(analysis)
- Critical Illness
- Female
- Humans
- Infections
(blood)
- Male
- Prognosis
- Prospective Studies
- Wound Infection
(blood, diagnosis)
- Wounds and Injuries
(blood)
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