Dementia has reached epidemic proportions, with an estimated 4.6 million new cases worldwide each year. With an aging world population the prevalence of
dementia will increase dramatically in the next few decades. Of the predicted 114 million who will have
dementia in 2050 about three-quarters will live in the less-developed regions. Although strongly age -related,
dementia is not an inevitable part of aging but is a true disease caused by exposure to several genetic and non-genetic risk factors. Prevention will be possible when the non genetic risk factors have been identified. Apart from age, more than 20 non-genetic risk factors have been postulated but very few have been established by randomised intervention studies. Elevated blood concentrations of total
homocysteine and low-normal concentrations of
B vitamins (
folate,
vitamins B-12 and B-6) are candidate risk factors for both
Alzheimer's disease and
vascular dementia. A review of the literature up to the end of 2005 shows the following. Seventy seven cross-sectional studies on > 34,000 subjects and 33 prospective studies on > 12,000 subjects have shown associations between cognitive deficit or
dementia and
homocysteine and/or
B vitamins. Biologically plausible mechanisms have been proposed to account for these associations, including
atrophy of the cerebral cortex, but a definite causal pathway has yet to be shown. Raised plasma total
homocysteine is a strong prognostic marker of future
cognitive decline, and is common in world populations. Low-normal concentrations of the
B vitamins, the main determinant of
homocysteine concentrations, are also common and occur in particularly vulnerable sections of the population, such as infants and the elderly. Large-scale randomised trials of
homocysteine-lowering
B vitamins are needed to see if a proportion of
dementia in the world can be prevented.