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An assessment of the potential value of elevated homocysteine in predicting alcohol-withdrawal seizures.

AbstractPURPOSE:
Higher homocysteine levels were found in actively drinking patients with alcohol dependence. Recent studies have shown that high homocysteine levels are associated with alcohol-withdrawal seizures. The aim of the present study was to calculate the best predictive cutoff value of plasma homocysteine levels in actively drinking alcoholics (n = 88) with first-onset alcohol-withdrawal seizures.
METHODS:
The present study included 88 alcohol-dependent patients of whom 18 patients had a first-onset withdrawal seizure. All patients were active drinkers and had an established diagnosis of alcohol dependence, according to the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM-IV). Sensitivity and specificity were calculated by using every homocysteine plasma level found in the study population as cut-off value. A Bayes theorem was used to calculate positive (PPV) and negative (NPV) predictive values for all cutoff values used.
RESULTS:
The highest combined sensitivity and specificity was reached at a homocysteine plasma cutoff value of 23.9 microM. Positive predictive values ranged from 0.23 to 0.745; the maximum was reached at a homocysteine plasma level of 41.7 microM. Negative predictive values ranged from 0.50 to 0.935, with a maximum at a homocysteine plasma level of 15.8 microM.
CONCLUSIONS:
Homocysteine levels above this cutoff value on admission are a useful screening tool to identify actively drinking patients at higher risk of alcohol-withdrawal seizures. This pilot study gives further hints that biologic markers may be helpful to predict patients at risk for first-onset alcohol-withdrawal seizures.
AuthorsStefan Bleich, Kristina Bayerlein, Thomas Hillemacher, Detlef Degner, Johannes Kornhuber, Helge Frieling
JournalEpilepsia (Epilepsia) Vol. 47 Issue 5 Pg. 934-8 (May 2006) ISSN: 0013-9580 [Print] United States
PMID16686660 (Publication Type: Comparative Study, Journal Article)
Chemical References
  • Homocysteine
Topics
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Alcohol Withdrawal Seizures (blood, diagnosis, epidemiology)
  • Alcoholism (blood, epidemiology)
  • Female
  • Homocysteine (blood)
  • Humans
  • Hyperhomocysteinemia (blood, diagnosis, epidemiology)
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Pilot Projects
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Psychiatric Status Rating Scales
  • ROC Curve
  • Risk Assessment (methods)
  • Risk Factors
  • Sensitivity and Specificity

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