Abstract | OBJECTIVE: METHODS: A Markov model was developed to predict the lifetime cost and outcomes [exacerbations rates, life expectancy, and quality-adjusted life years (QALY)] in patients treated with roflumilast, which showed a reduction in the exacerbation rates and lung function improvement in a pooled analysis from two clinical trials, M2-124 and M2-125. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to explore the impact of uncertainties on the cost-effectiveness. RESULTS: The addition of roflumilast to concomitant LABA reduced the number of exacerbations from 15.6 to 12.7 [2.9 (95 % CI 0.88-4.92) exacerbations avoided] and increased QALYs from 5.45 to 5.61 [0.16 (95 % CI 0.02-0.31) QALYs gained], at an incremental cost of £3,197 (95 % CI £2,135-£4,253). Cost in LABA alone and LABA + roflumilast were £16,161 and £19,358 respectively. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios in the base case were £19,505 (95 % CI £364-£38,646) per quality-adjusted life-year gained and 18,219 (95 % CI £12,697-£49,135) per life-year gained. Sensitivity analyses suggest that among the main determinants of cost-effectiveness are the reduction of exacerbations and the case fatality rate due to hospital-treated exacerbations. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis suggests that the probability of roflumilast being cost-effective is 82 % at willingness-to-pay £30,000 per QALY. CONCLUSIONS: The addition of roflumilast to LABA in the treatment of patients with severe-to-very severe COPD reduces the rate of exacerbations and can be cost-effective in the UK setting.
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Authors | Yevgeniy Samyshkin, Robert W Kotchie, Ann-Christin Mörk, Andrew H Briggs, Eric D Bateman |
Journal | The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care
(Eur J Health Econ)
Vol. 15
Issue 1
Pg. 69-82
(Jan 2014)
ISSN: 1618-7601 [Electronic] Germany |
PMID | 23392624
(Publication Type: Journal Article, Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't)
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Chemical References |
- Aminopyridines
- Benzamides
- Bronchodilator Agents
- Cyclopropanes
- Delayed-Action Preparations
- Phosphodiesterase 4 Inhibitors
- Roflumilast
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Topics |
- Age Factors
- Aged
- Aminopyridines
(administration & dosage, economics, therapeutic use)
- Benzamides
(administration & dosage, economics, therapeutic use)
- Bronchitis
(epidemiology)
- Bronchodilator Agents
(administration & dosage, therapeutic use)
- Chronic Disease
- Clinical Trials as Topic
- Cost-Benefit Analysis
- Cyclopropanes
(administration & dosage, economics, therapeutic use)
- Delayed-Action Preparations
- Female
- Health Services
(economics, statistics & numerical data)
- Humans
- Male
- Markov Chains
- Middle Aged
- Phosphodiesterase 4 Inhibitors
(administration & dosage, economics, therapeutic use)
- Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive
(drug therapy, epidemiology)
- Quality-Adjusted Life Years
- Respiratory Function Tests
- United Kingdom
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