Abstract | OBJECTIVES: METHODS: Using a multicenter survey including 544 patients we measured patient quality of life and attributable costs by clinical disease stage. Natural disease progression was studied in 278 patients in a single center. A Markov model was constructed to follow hypothetical cohorts of treated and untreated 40-year-old CHBe+ and CHBe- patients and 50-year-old patients with compensated cirrhosis. RESULTS: We did not find an improvement in quality of life when viral load was reduced under treatment. Transition rates to liver cirrhosis were found to be age-dependent. Assuming equal effectiveness, tenofovir dominates the entecavir strategy because of its lower price in Belgium. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of tenofovir after 20 years is more favorable for treating Caucasian cirrhotic patients (mean ICER €29,000/quality-adjusted life-year [QALY]) compared with treating non-cirrhotic patients (mean ICER €110,000 and 131,000/QALY for CHB e+ and e-, respectively). Within the non-cirrhotic patients the ICER decreases with increasing cohort starting age from 30 to 50 years. CONCLUSIONS: Results of long-term models for tenofovir or entecavir treatment of CHB need to be interpreted with caution as long-term trials with hard end points are lacking. Especially the effect on HCC remains highly uncertain. Based on cost-effectiveness considerations such antiviral treatment should be targeted at patients with cirrhosis or at risk of rapid progression to this disease stage.
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Authors | Frank Hulstaert, Christoph Schwierz, Frederik Nevens, Nancy Thiry, Mohamed Gamil, Isabelle Colle, Stefaan Van de Sande, Yves Horsmans |
Journal | International journal of technology assessment in health care
(Int J Technol Assess Health Care)
Vol. 29
Issue 1
Pg. 35-41
(Jan 2013)
ISSN: 1471-6348 [Electronic] England |
PMID | 23298548
(Publication Type: Journal Article, Multicenter Study, Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't)
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Chemical References |
- Antiviral Agents
- Hepatitis B e Antigens
- Organophosphonates
- entecavir
- Guanine
- Tenofovir
- Adenine
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Topics |
- Adenine
(analogs & derivatives, economics, therapeutic use)
- Adult
- Antiviral Agents
(economics, therapeutic use)
- Belgium
- Cost-Benefit Analysis
- Early Diagnosis
- Guanine
(analogs & derivatives, economics, therapeutic use)
- Health Care Surveys
- Hepatitis B e Antigens
(blood)
- Hepatitis B, Chronic
(drug therapy, virology)
- Humans
- Liver Cirrhosis
(etiology)
- Markov Chains
- Middle Aged
- Organophosphonates
(economics, therapeutic use)
- Quality of Life
- Secondary Prevention
- Tenofovir
- Treatment Outcome
- Viral Load
(drug effects)
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