Abstract | BACKGROUND: Factors that predict HIV (human immunodeficiency virus)/ AIDS patient postoperative mortality have remained poorly defined. OBJECTIVES: The primary objective of this study was to identify factors predictive of short-term, postoperative mortality in HIV/ AIDS patients. The secondary objective of this study was to develop a scoring system that would predict short-term postoperative mortality in HIV/ AIDS patients. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed all HIV/ AIDS patients who underwent surgical procedures in British Columbia, Canada, between April 1995 and March 2002. The primary outcome evaluated was 30-day postoperative mortality. Demographic, clinical, and hospitalization-related data were obtained and utilized to predict outcomes using a logistic regression model. RESULTS: A total of 2305 procedures were carried out on 1322 patients during the study period. Admissions were classified as urgent/emergent for 1311 procedures (57%) and the overall 30-day postoperative mortality was 9.5% (126 deaths). Urgent/emergent admission, older age, prior surgery, a CD4 cell count of ≤ 50 cells/mm, a hemoglobin level ≤ 120 g/L, and a white blood cell count >11 g/L within 90 days before the surgical procedure was predictive of an increased 30-day postoperative mortality in a multivariate model. Using these variables, we formulated the HIV Surgical Mortality Score (HSMS) to obtain the median-estimated probability of postoperative death. CONCLUSIONS: For accurate preoperative mortality risk stratification for HIV/ AIDS patients, we have found that several clinical and laboratory variables must be evaluated. If appropriately validated, our proposed HSMS could be utilized to estimate the probability of short-term postoperative death among HIV/ AIDS patients.
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Authors | Sam M Wiseman, Jamie I Forrest, Joe E Chan, Wendy Zhang, Benita Yip, Robert S Hogg, Viviane D Lima, Julio S G Montaner |
Journal | Annals of surgery
(Ann Surg)
Vol. 256
Issue 1
Pg. 170-6
(Jul 2012)
ISSN: 1528-1140 [Electronic] United States |
PMID | 22580943
(Publication Type: Journal Article, Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural, Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't, Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.)
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Topics |
- Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome
(mortality)
- Adult
- Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly Active
- British Columbia
(epidemiology)
- CD4 Lymphocyte Count
- Female
- HIV Infections
(drug therapy, mortality)
- Hospitalization
- Humans
- Logistic Models
- Male
- Multivariate Analysis
- Outcome Assessment, Health Care
- Retrospective Studies
- Risk Assessment
- Survival Analysis
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