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Performance characteristics of clinical diagnosis, a clinical decision rule, and a rapid influenza test in the detection of influenza infection in a community sample of adults.

AbstractSTUDY OBJECTIVE:
The accurate diagnosis of influenza remains a diagnostic dilemma. We examine the performance of various strategies for diagnosing influenza infection in an unselected sample of adults during influenza season.
METHODS:
Consecutive adults presenting to a university emergency department or urgent care clinic between January and March 2002 with acute respiratory complaints were eligible for this prospective observational study. The performance of clinician judgment, a rapid influenza test, and a clinical prediction rule in predicting influenza infection was evaluated using referent standard of reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction. Statistical significance was assessed using McNemar's test of proportions.
RESULTS:
Fifty-three of 258 (21%) patients had a positive influenza reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction test. Overall, clinician judgment showed sensitivity of 29% (95% confidence interval [CI] 18% to 43%) and specificity of 92% (95% CI 87% to 95%). The rapid influenza test showed a sensitivity of 33% (95% CI 22% to 47%) and specificity of 98% (95% CI 96% to 99%). The clinical prediction rule showed a sensitivity of 40% (95% CI 27% to 54%) and specificity of 92% (95% CI 87% to 95%). Clinician judgment when patients presented within 48 hours showed a sensitivity of 67% (95% CI 39% to 86%) and specificity of 96% (95% CI 81% to 99%). Neither the rapid influenza test (P=.10) nor the clinical prediction rule (P=.42) was superior to clinician judgment alone in the diagnosis of influenza.
CONCLUSION:
The suggestion that a clinical decision rule or a rapid influenza test is better than clinical judgment alone for the diagnosis of influenza in an unselected patient population is not supported by this study.
AuthorsJohn Stein, Janice Louie, Scott Flanders, Judith Maselli, Jill K Hacker, W Lawrence Drew, Ralph Gonzales
JournalAnnals of emergency medicine (Ann Emerg Med) Vol. 46 Issue 5 Pg. 412-9 (Nov 2005) ISSN: 1097-6760 [Electronic] United States
PMID16271670 (Publication Type: Comparative Study, Evaluation Study, Journal Article, Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't)
Topics
  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Clinical Competence
  • Clinical Laboratory Techniques (methods)
  • Community-Acquired Infections (diagnosis)
  • Decision Support Techniques
  • Emergency Medicine (instrumentation, methods)
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Influenza, Human (diagnosis)
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Process Assessment, Health Care
  • Prospective Studies
  • Sensitivity and Specificity

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